On 09-03-2013 Microsoft MSFT, announced that it is buying the handset units from Nokia, NOK. Nokia stock moved up over 16 standard deviations on the news. The chart below is a daily chart of Nokia, the red bars show the price move in standard deviations. The line on the bottom is the IV/SV ratio, notice how the implied volatility rose dramatically in the days prior to the announcement, a signal that something was happening.
The chart below is a two minute chart of the SPY on 04-23-2013. The Associated Press’s Twitter account got hacked and someone tweeted that the White House had been bombed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 145 points and recovered in about 7 minutes. The SPY is shown below, on a two minute chart the down move was over 30 standard deviations as shown on the red bar. This was an excellent example of the kind of market volatility that one tweet can produce, even though it turned out to be false.
The chart below is Netflix, NFLX, stock after their earnings report yesterday. The up move was over 7 standard deviations as shown on the red bars below the price chart. The line on the bottom is the ratio of the implied volatility to the statistical volatility which has dropped to 204.30 post earnings. We discussed NFLX on my radio show, Ken’s Bulls and Bears report with Jeffrey Dow Jones a couple of months ago.